So this one is a little tricky using the calculations I have used up to this point. The problem is that a big portion of the voters are Independent and when I look at what the polls tell me about this group of people they are all over the place. In any case, I am using the averages so it should all even out (maybe).

And the polls I used:
NBC/Marist |
DataForProgress |
AtlasIntel |
NYT/Siena |
CNN/SSRS |